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Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction for Today’s MLB Game | September 26 Picks and Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies are in the process of finalizing their rotations for the remaining games of the regular season, including a doubleheader scheduled for Tuesday. As of the current moment, neither team has officially announced their starting pitchers for these games. However, it is likely that the Rockies will field either Ryan Feltner or Chase Anderson as their starting pitcher for Game 1.

On the other hand, the Dodgers’ starting pitcher remains uncertain, but they have the option of using Ryan Pepiot or Emmet Sheehan either as starters or in bulk roles behind an opener.

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Dodgers

Interestingly, considering the formidable hitting prowess of the Dodgers, the starting pitching situation might not carry as much weight when analyzing this matchup. Further details will be elaborated upon below.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have displayed impressive offensive prowess in September, particularly against right-handed pitching. Their performance is reflected in their stellar statistics, boasting a 114 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus) and a robust .788 OPS in these matchups. Additionally, their disciplined plate approach is evident, with a 10.3% walk rate, placing them near the top of the league in this category. While they strike out 20.7% of the time this month, their ability to generate runs compensates for this.

Remarkably, the Dodgers’ lineup is packed with talent, featuring eight hitters with a xwOBA (expected weighted on-base average) exceeding .340, with two more hitters surpassing the .300 mark. This depth and proficiency in hitting make them a formidable force at the plate. Notably, key players such as Austin Barnes, James Outman, Will Smith, Amed Rosario, Mookie Betts, and Max Muncy all boast xwOBAs above .360, underscoring the lineup’s potential to produce consistently, even when facing a less formidable pitching staff like that of the Colorado Rockies.

The Colorado Rockies are facing a pitching dilemma, with the potential starters being Anderson or Feltner. Let’s take a closer look at both options:

  1. Chase Anderson:
    • ERA: 5.75
    • xERA: 5.04
    • Barrel rate: 8.7%
    • Average exit velocity allowed: 87.3 mph
    • Hard-hit rate: 31.9%
    • Strikeout rate: 17%
    • Walk rate: 8.8%
    • Groundball rate: 36.6%

Chase Anderson’s performance this season hasn’t been particularly strong. His ERA and xERA suggest a struggle to prevent runs effectively. His propensity for allowing hard-hit balls and his relatively low strikeout rate may pose challenges, especially against a formidable lineup like the Dodgers. Additionally, his modest groundball rate might not bode well against LA.

  1. Ryan Feltner:
    • Stats are very similar to Anderson’s, with some differences.
    • Walk rate: 14.6%
    • Groundball rate: 44.9%

Ryan Feltner shares similarities with Anderson in several statistical categories, but he walks a higher percentage of hitters. On a positive note, he tends to induce more ground balls, which could be an advantage. However, it’s worth noting that neither pitcher appears to have a favorable matchup against the Dodgers.

In the relief department, the Rockies face their own set of challenges:

  • Team xFIP: 5.56
  • Strikeout rate: Sub-20%
  • Walk rate: 12.9%
  • Limited number of active arms with xFIP below 4.00

The Rockies’ bullpen has struggled this season, with a high xFIP, a relatively low strikeout rate, and an elevated walk rate. The lack of consistently effective arms in their relief corps could present difficulties in holding off the Dodgers’ potent lineup.

Overall, both the Rockies’ starting pitching options and their bullpen face significant challenges when going up against the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have been performing impressively at the plate.

In the matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies, it’s evident that the Rockies are at a significant disadvantage, primarily due to their pitching staff’s inability to handle a roster that excels against right-handed pitching. With only Brent Suter as the lone active left-handed reliever in the Rockies’ bullpen, the odds are stacked against them.

Considering these factors, it’s apparent that the advantage lies heavily with Los Angeles in this matchup. Therefore, regardless of the Dodgers’ starting pitcher, the moneyline is likely to be quite steep in their favor.

A prudent betting pick and prediction for this game would be to take the Dodgers’ team total over 6 runs. Given the Rockies’ pitching struggles and the Dodgers’ proficiency at the plate, there’s a strong likelihood that the Dodgers will surpass this run total during the game.

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